Country Risk Analysis
Country risk relates to the likelihood that changes in the business environment will occur that reduce the
profitability of doing business in a country. These changes can adversely affect operating profits as well
as the value of assets. The risk is mainly derived from the political changes in the country.
Political risk involves currency or trade control, change in tax or labor laws, regulatory restrictions, and
requirements for additional local production. The inability of a current government to honor the
agreements and the deals that had been made by a prior government can lead to devastating
consequences such as: a great decline in foreign investments…
Furthermore, foreign investors take very well in consideration the financial analyses of a country before
launching any business. Financial risk analyses focus in the country’s ability to finance its debt obligations
and include factors such as foreign debt as a percentage of GDP, loan default, and exchange rate
stability.
In addition to the Political analyses and the financial analyses, a third analysis plays a big role in
identifying whether a country is a fertile land for business. It is the economic risk analyses that
determines a country’s economic strengths and weaknesses by looking at its rate of growth in GDP, per
capita GDP, inflation rate, factors in that nature.
Nationalization is also considered a major risk for foreign companies when entering international markets.
On the other hand, governments tend to compensate nationalized companies. However, the benefits that
are given to the companies when transiting from private to nationalized don’t often seek the investors’
expectations.
To sum it all up, we can say that globalization has opened a huge opportunity for business and people to
engage in business with many countries around the world. The risk under its different shapes (political,
economic, financial) is definitely the main concern of any investor when entering a new market. Plus, a
stable country usually has a high investment rate which leads to a better economy.
References:
http://www.bankersonline.com/articles/v07n05/v07n05a18.html

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